Using the wight average value of the two models as CSIRO-MK_2 and CCSR/NIES,this paper has simulated the climate change in future and discussed the response of hydrologic elements to the climate change.

• 利用CS IRO-M k2和CCSR/N IES两个模型模拟结果加权平均,模拟未来气候变化,探讨了水文要素对气候变化的响应。