Traveling intensity is forecasted with GOMPERTZ model, and demarcation is carried out through the actual data to the GOMPERTAZ model parameter, comparative analysis to the model is done by an example.

• 应用GOMPERTZ模型预测了出行强度，并通过实际数据对GOMPERTZ模型参数进行了标定，采用实例对模型进行了比较分析。