To solve the little sample, less data, incomplete information and devoid experience of uncertain problems, the traditional mathematics model is not the best. The yield of reed prediction is a case in point.

• 对于小样本、少数据、信息不完全和经验缺乏的不确定性问题的解决,用传统的数学建模方法并不太适合,芦苇产量预测就属于此类问题。