This study compares the forecasting methods of ARIMA time series and fuzzy time series by Two-factor models, Heuristic models, and Markov models based on the amount of Taiwan export.

• 摘要本研究目的是针对传统时间数列模式与模糊时间数列之二因子模式、引导式模式及马可夫模式预测方法在应用上之比较，并以台湾出口金额之预测为例。