The relationship of reserve-production ratio and time and the cut-off value of stable production have been derived on basis of Arps decline curve and mathematical model of production prediction.

• 在Arps递减曲线和产量预测数学模型理论研究的基础上,分别导出了油田产量遵循不同开发规律时储采比与时间的关系式及确定油田保持稳产时所需的储采比下限值,将其应用于辽河油区合理储采比确定中,效果较好。