The disturbance model can give the prediction for all the 95 shock events, while STOA model works for 89 events and ISPM model for only 72 events.

• 95个事件中我们的扰动传播模型能对所有事件进行分析给出预报值，STOA模型能给出89个预报值，而ISPM模型则只能给出72个。