Secondly we do the ensemble forecast experiments by applying the Monte-Carlo method and BGM(Breeding of Growing Modes) method to control prediction respectively.

• 然后用Monte-Carlo方法和增长模繁殖法对控制预报进行了集合预报试验,生成了相应的集合预报产品,并结合“真实”风暴和控制预报结果进行了对比分析。