Finally, even if we are generous and assume that there is some market forecaster out there who has the holy grail of market prediction, our chances of being able to sort him out from those who simply got lucky are pretty slim.

• 最后，甚至我们可以大胆地假设有获得神助的市场预言家，但我们能够从那些仅靠运气的人堆里面把他们找出来也是希望很渺茫的。