Disaggregate PSHA is proposed to estimate the PGD induced by liquefaction and landslide.The PGD induced by fault movement is still determined by DSHA primarily, and PSHA needs further studies.

• 针对管道的抗断设计，断层未来位错量的估计方法现在仍以确定性方法为主，概率方法因为断层位错量沿着破裂带的分布较为复杂仍有待进一步研究。