Combining the engineering characteristic and the theory of Markov chain, this paper inferred the forecast model of fuzzy Markov chain, which had the fuzzy division of conditions and characteristics of no following effects in the main.

• 摘要针对工程问题的特点结合马尔科夫链理论，提出了具备状态模糊划分和具有“大体无后效性”特点的模糊马尔科夫链状的预测模型。