By research of cause of mechanism and influence factor of fissure, this paper carries out the forecast of fissure using curvature method and synthesis discriminance.

• 分析研究本区裂缝的成因机制和影响因素的基础上，应用曲率法和综合判别法对本区深层各层位在不同时期的裂缝发育状况进行了预测；