Based on the city data of the past 10 years and the values of exogenous and dummy variables confirmed, the model is applied for forecasting the URT development in Shanghai in the near future.

• 依据上海市过去10年的数据和确定的外生与虚拟变量值，应用该模型对上海市近期城市轨道交通发展情况进行了实例分析。