Analysts say such estimates may well be overblown, but such a projection could still hurt future investment in crude production capacity in Saudi Arabia and other Gulf oil states.

• 分析人士说，这样的估计很有可能过高，但这种预测，仍有可能挫伤沙特阿拉伯和其他海湾石油国家未来在原油产能方面的投资。