A model of the hitting probability that a certain rocket intercepting cruise missile is established, and a numerical simulation is carried out by using the method of Monte-Carlo.

• 建立了某火箭武器系统拦截巡航导弹的命中概率模型,并采用蒙特卡洛法进行了仿真计算,仿真试验结果表明,在一定条件下,该火箭武器系统能够以较大概率命中巡航导弹。